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A Third
Choice Complete Transcript
BYSTANDER: Our
country needs cleaning up badly.
BYSTANDER: I think both
parties have failed in a lot of ways. And we sometimes wish that we
could have another party.
MR. BEN WATTENBERG: When many
Americans are dissatisfied with our two major parties, which is
often the case, third parties, or independent candidates, step in,
providing choices or identifying new or passionate concerns among
voters.
Campaign 2000 is no different.
MR. RALPH
NADER: I welcome and am honored to accept your nomination for
president of the United States.
MR. WATTENBERG: When
Americans demand a third choice, or even a fourth choice, it can
change and renew the major parties, sometimes making winners into
losers and vice versa.
(Music)
Hello. I am Ben
Wattenberg.
More often than you might think, Americans have
looked beyond the two major political parties and reached for a
third choice. When they do, big things often happen in American
politics and in American life.
Let's start at the beginning.
First, why two parties? In fact, why parties at all?
In the
beginning, the founders agreed they wanted no parties in their new
country.
"There is nothing I dread so much as the division of
the Republic into two great parties, each under its leader" - John
Adams.
"Ignorance leads men into a party, and shame keeps
them from getting out again" - Benjamin Franklin
"If I could
not go to heaven but with a party, I would not go there at all" -
Thomas Jefferson.
MR. WATTENBERG: When the framers met in
Philadelphia in 1787, the Constitution they drafted made no mention
of parties at all.
MR. MICHAEL BARONE: I think the Founding
Fathers, they were operating from a perspective where they had the
English experience in view, they had the experience of the Italian
city-state, the Roman republic, the Greek polis; where they felt
that parties tended to be kind of illegitimate. There was still a
feeling in the air that, to systematically oppose the people that
were in charge of the government, which is what an opposition party
does typically, was somehow illegitimate and you really shouldn't do
that.
MR. WATTENBERG: Despite that, the seeds of today's
two-party political system were soon planted during the first
administration of the first American president, George Washington.
Washington's cabinet included two brilliant and powerful men with
opposing views of America's future: Thomas Jefferson, the secretary
of state; and Alexander Hamilton, the secretary of the treasury.
Jefferson hoped America would remain a nation of independent farmers
and yeomen like those in his home state of Virginia, and so he
wanted to limit the federal government and leave important decisions
to the states.
"I am for preserving to the states the powers
not yielded by them to the Union." - Thomas Jefferson.
MR.
WATTENBERG: Hamilton thought America should become a unified
industrial nation which required a strong federal government able to
stand equal to the great powers of Europe.
"Let the 13
states, bound together in a strict and indissoluble union, concur in
erecting one great American system able to dictate the terms of the
connection between the old and new world." - Alexander
Hamilton.
MR. WATTENBERG: Over the course of his presidency,
Washington grew increasingly worried that the rift between Hamilton
and Jefferson would develop into what was called
factions.
"Let me warn you, in the most solemn manner,
against the baneful effects of the spirit of party." - George
Washington.
MR. THEODORE LOWI: The founders were universally
and unanimously against political parties. George Washington's
Farewell Address warned America about two things: Beware entangling
alliances -- that is, be isolationist in the world; and the second
one was, beware the baneful influence of party. So our father of our
country voices this warning eight years into the republic, at the
end of his two terms of office, at the very moment when the parties
are forming.
MR. WATTENBERG: Just as Washington had feared,
by the election of 1800, parties had formed. The Democratic
Republicans rallied behind Thomas Jefferson. The Federalists, who
supported Hamilton's ideas, backed incumbent president John Adams.
Jefferson won. America now had two parties. Why not more?
MR.
STEVEN ROSENSTONE: The rules of the game are stacked against third
parties in this country, and I don't think it's because the founders
intentionally understood or decided that they were going to make it
a two-party system. In fact, the founders didn't even talk about
parties in any of the documents or debates. Simply put, any system
of elections where winner takes all by plurality is a system that
favors two parties.
MR. WATTENBERG: Winner-take-all
elections. Here's what it means. Let's say you have two candidates
running for president. If Candidate A gets 51 percent of the vote in
a state, and Candidate B gets 49 percent, Candidate A gets 100
percent of that state's electoral votes, and Candidate B gets
nothing.
MR. LOWI: This literally discourages new parties
because of the psychology of the wasted vote. If there are two guys
running and there's a third guy comes along, he has no chance of
winning, though I prefer him -- in those days they were all "him" --
then it's better to cast your vote for the lesser of the two evils
between the two major guys.
MR. WATTENBERG: And so, despite
the founders' early intentions, America ended up with political
parties, two of them, and the rules of the game made it difficult
for any additional party to win the allegiance of voters. Difficult,
but not impossible. In 1826, a third choice party emerged. It was
founded on a conspiracy theory concerning a secret society that
built this monument to its most famous member, George Washington.
That society was the Masons.
The original 13 colonies had
restricted voting rights to white male property owners, but the new
states to the west extended the franchise to workers, tenant farmers
and artisans. One by one, the older eastern states followed their
lead. Alas, women and blacks were still excluded.
MR. BARONE:
Third parties have risen up usually in situations where one or,
really, both of the two parties leave a kind of vacuum, leave a
major political point of view in this diverse country unrepresented
in a political contest.
MR. WATTENBERG: The first third party
tapped into just such an unrepresented political view -- the
resentment by new voters toward the American establishment. Many in
that establishment were members of the exclusive Masonic Order, a
powerful secret society devoted to good works and what we might
today call networking. In fact, most of the Founding Fathers had
been Masons, including Washington, who was sometimes portrayed
wearing a Masonic apron and used a Masonic Bible to take his oath of
office.
MR. ROBERT REMINI: Unless you were a Mason, you could
not advance in law, you could not advance in business, you could not
advance in anything.
MR. WATTENBERG: Many of those shut out
of the system began to believe there was a plan, a conspiracy to
shut them out. And then something happened to confirm their worst
fears -- a renegade Mason named William Morgan
disappeared.
MR. REMINI: He got into a quarrel with his
fellow Masons and threatened to reveal the secrets of the Order. He
was arrested on trumped-up charges, I think, and eventually he
disappeared, and many believe he was taken from prison and drowned
in the Niagara River. The disappearance of Morgan and his presumed
murder aroused the people of Western New York to such a fever pitch,
and this developed almost instantaneously into a political move to
get rid of all Masons in public office -- at least, that was
something the people could do.
MR. WATTENBERG: As
anti-masonic feelings rose, the two major parties were going through
big changes. By 1832 the Federalists were gone. The Democratic
Republicans split into two parties, each lined up behind a powerful
national figure. Followers of President Andrew Jackson were
Democrats; supporters of Senator Henry Clay were Whigs. They
complained that Jackson was trying to increase the power of the
presidency. And they called him King Andrew.
In the election
of 1832 it was Jackson versus Clay.
MR. REMINI: His
supporters told him to renounce his membership in the Masonic Party,
which he refused to do. And, of course, Andrew Jackson was
considered, quote, "a grand king of the Masonic Order." So the
Masonic groups could not have anything to do with him. They had to
get a third candidate. So they formed the third party, national
party. They had state parties by that time. And they held the first
national nominating convention and ironically put up a former Mason
in William Wirth. And he took votes from both candidates.
MR.
WATTENBERG: How did the anti-masons fare? The Democrats won the
election of 1832. Struggling against the third party wasted vote
syndrome, the anti-masons won just 8 percent. But that doesn't mean
they were a total failure. Membership in the Masonic Order dropped
from 100,000 to 40,000, largely due to anti-masonic
pressure.
MR. WATTENBERG: The anti-masons didn't stick around
long. By 1840 they were history. They never did build a national
constituency. And that's a pattern that many third parties have
since followed. But, the anti-masons did inspire the two major
parties to compete for those newly enfranchised workers and
farmers.
Soon the Whigs and Democrats started breaking apart
over a far more important issue, slavery. That opened one of the
most important debates in American history, and it begins the story
of the only third party candidate to actually win the White House.
That remarkable man was Abraham Lincoln, whose life began in the
backwoods of Kentucky and ended right here at Ford's Theater in
downtown Washington D.C.
Mid-19th century America was divided
into three political regions: the free states of the North, where
the Industrial Revolution was blooming; the slave states of the
South, where cotton was king; and the Wild West. The overriding
political question of the day was whether slavery would be allowed
in the West. Under the leadership of South Carolina Senator John C.
Calhoun, Southerners dominated the Congress, but they worried that
if too many Western territories entered the Union as "free states",
the balance of power would tip to the North's advantage and slavery
would ultimately be outlawed nationwide.
MR. DAVID HERBERT
DONALD: Southerners felt obliged to be united, in public at any
rate, behind the institution of slavery. Nobody could afford to come
out in the South and say slavery is wrong, or we ought to do
something to end it, we ought to gradually to emancipate.
MR.
WATTENBERG: The slavery debate cut across party lines. Both the
Democrats and the Whigs faced bitter differences within their
parties.
MR. DONALD: Anti-slavery Whigs were called the
"Conscience Whigs" in contrast to the "Cotton Whigs" -- the Cotton
Whigs being those in league with, as the anti-slavery people said,
"the lords of the loom and the lords of the lash" -- in other words,
the people who produced cotton and the people who made cotton
cloth.
MR. WATTENBERG: Increasingly, the Democrats became the
party of the pro-slavery South. The Whigs remained divided. In a
time of political upheaval, small new parties began to spring up,
like the Anti-Slavery Free-Soilers and the Anti-Immigration American
Party.
Then in 1854, Congress passed the infamous
Kansas-Nebraska Act. It allowed those two states to decide the
slavery question for themselves.
MR. DONALD: To anti-slavery
people, this was a signal flag that something very wrong had
occurred. There had been, they felt, a moral decision to keep
slavery out of those territories, and it didn't take a lot of
imagination to say, "Okay, if you can bring slavery into Kansas,
Nebraska, these areas where slavery always had been prohibited, what
was to keep us -- slavery from going elsewhere?"
MR.
WATTENBERG: In the North, anti-slavery activists began to hold
assemblies. A lawyer named Alvin Bovay called a meeting in Ripon,
Wisconsin on March 20th, 1854.
"We went into the meeting
Whigs, Free Soilers and Democrats. We came out Republicans." Alvin
Bovay.
MR. WATTENBERG: "Republicans" because they believed
that they were the true descendents of Jefferson's Democratic
Republican Party. In 1856, the new Republican Party met in the
Musical Fund Hall in Philadelphia. They nominated Colonel John. C.
Fremont, the popular California senator, to be their first
presidential candidate. Their slogan was: "Free Soil, Free Speech
and Fremont!" Remarkably, Fremont came in second in a three-way
race. The Republicans, in the space of just two years, had replaced
a major party, the Whigs.
MR. DONALD: By 1860, things had
changed considerably, because by that point, it's clear that a
Republican, if a strong candidate, is surely going to win. So a lot
of Republicans who had been hiding behind the bushes in 1856 now
suddenly emerged and they all were really all gung-ho.
In all
of this hullabaloo, Abraham Lincoln and his friends watched
circumstances very closely, and they made this kind of judgment;
that is, that Lincoln would appear on the scene as the first choice
of only Illinois and possibly Indiana. He, on the other hand, might
be the second choice of a great many of these other candidates. And
when they got into the convention, they would, in effect, kill each
other off, and there, presto, is Abraham Lincoln standing as the
only survivor. And that is exactly what happened, just according to
Lincoln's schedule.
MR. WATTENBERG: The election of 1860 was
a four-way race. Lincoln faced a split Democratic Party. Senator
Stephen A. Douglas, a Northern Democrat, carried the official
designation. John Breckinridge ran as a Southern Democrat. Senator
John Bell carried the banner of the new pro-slavery Constitutional
Union Party. Lincoln won the election by carrying the North. He got
39.8 percent of the popular vote, the smallest percentage ever to
propel a candidate into the White House.
Southern secession
now seemed inevitable. The stage was set for the Civil
War.
Lincoln's great and tragic presidency changed American
politics and American life. The Civil War raged for four years. Six
hundred and twenty thousand Americans were killed. But Lincoln had
signed the Emancipation Proclamation, which freed all Southern
slaves, and the defeat of the South by Lincoln's army finally
settled the slavery issue.
So for the first and the only time
in our history, a third party replaced one of the major parties and
saw its presidential nominee elected to office.
Abraham
Lincoln's assassination did not mean the demise of the new
Republican Party; quite the contrary. After the war, the Republicans
remained vibrant, one of the country's two dominant parties.
Therefore, what? While it is very hard for a third party to prevail
in our two-party system, it can be done.
For the Republicans
of the 1850s, it took an issue that was beyond compromise, slavery,
which fatally weakened a major party, the Whigs, and it took one of
America's greatest leaders, perhaps the greatest, Abraham
Lincoln.
America settled back into the old two-party system,
but these two parties would soon be tested by new issues.
The
Industrial Revolution went to full throttle. Huge numbers of
Americans moved west. The railroads bound the country together. By
1890, 125,000 miles of track stretched from coast to coast and from
North to South.
But power, money, production, and political
influence became concentrated in the Northeast. Both the Republican
and Democratic parties were accused of falling under the sway of
financiers.
"We meet in the midst of a nation brought to the
verge of moral, political, and material ruin. A vast conspiracy
against mankind has been organized. If not met and overthrown at
once, it forebodes terrible social convulsions." -- Ignatius
Donnelly.
MR. WATTENBERG: Farmers in the West and South were
hard hit by the changing economy. They were often in debt. They were
increasingly dependent on the railroad. They blamed eastern
interests for their plight, and the same kind of anti-elitist
resentments that had fueled the anti-Masons would now launch another
political movement.
MR. DONALD RITCHIE: The conditions in
Kansas were pretty raw and pretty rugged. The economy went from
prosperity to poverty very quickly, and people were astonished by
it. You had a lot of farmers who were doing everything they could
and yet could not survive. They were going to lose their property to
the banks, to mortgages; they saw banks sort of sucking away
everything that they'd ever worked for, and so they turned toward
political candidates who spoke their language; who told them to get
out there and raise less corn and more hell.
MR. WATTENBERG:
Dozens of small parties sprang up, each with a program of change.
The Prohibition Party, the Greenback Labor Party, the Union Labor
Party, the Socialist Party, just to begin a very long
list.
MR. ROSENSTONE: It's very easy to see, for example, in
the period prior to the Civil War, the role that third parties were
playing vis-a-vis the slavery issue as a way of forcing the hand of
one of the parties on that issue. It's very easy to see, in the
closing decades of the 19th century, as the forces of agrarianism,
the forces of soft money, the forces against railroad monopoly, were
trying to push the hand of one of the parties.
MR.
WATTENBERG: By 1892, many farmers were angry with the major parties,
so they launched their own, the People's Party, also called the
Populists. They were so-called soft-money advocates, rejecting the
gold standard. They favored basing the currency on a combination of
gold and silver, which would cause inflation, making it easier for
farmers to pay off their debts. In 1892, the People's Party ran
James P. Weaver of Iowa for president. Democrat Grover Cleveland won
and Democrats captured the Congress. The new Populist Party received
9 percent of the vote.
Then came the great depression of
1893. Populist leader Jacob Coxey led a march on Washington
demanding public works programs to provide jobs. Democrats were
blamed for the country's economic distress.
MR. RITCHIE: In
1893 you have the depression; in 1894 the Republicans come back with
a vengeance. But in 1896 you have Democrats nominating a fiery young
former Democratic congressman from Nebraska, William Jennings Bryan,
a great orator who steals one of the big issues of the Populists,
the issue of free silver.
"You shall not press down upon the
brow of labor this crown of thorns. You shall not crucify mankind
upon a cross of gold." -- William Jennings Bryan
MR. RITCHIE:
There's a lot of talk that the children's story, the "Wizard of Oz,"
is really a Populist fable. It was written by L. Frank Baum, whose
father was an investor in gold and who was very suspicious,
apparently, of these western political movements. And if you read
the story, it starts with a very bleak scene in Kansas; farmers just
eking by in terrible drought conditions. And suddenly, a tornado, a
storm rushes through the state and sweeps everything up in its path
the way Populism swept across Kansas. Now, little Dorothy is whisked
off to this strange land, where she is given a pair of silver shoes
in the book, not ruby shoes that they did in the movie. And she is
told to follow a Yellow Brick Road. And this is bi-metalism, silver
and gold, as the path to your future.
And she encounters some
strange people along the way. She encounters a Straw Man, who
presumably represents the farmers. The Straw Man has no brain. She
encounters a Tin Man, who presumably represents the workers. He has
no heart. And then she encounters a Cowardly Lion, who is all roar
but no strength. And presumably, he represents the radical agitators
who run around speaking for the Populist Movement.
And when
they finally get to Oz, they meet the Wizard. And he is a carnival
huckster from Omaha, Nebraska, William Jennings Bryan's hometown,
and he is a hot-air balloonist. And he winds up going off and
leaving poor Dorothy stranded, but she manages to get back
home.
And when she finally gets back to Kansas in the end,
she says, "There's no place like home" -- and she is not leaving
again -- since the farmers will return to their traditional parties
and not be swept up into the whirlwind, because the Wizard is really
a phony.
MR. WATTENBERG: Many political observers said that
Bryan and the Populists swallowed the Democratic Party whole. Bryan
and the Democrats would carry the banner of free silver.
So
the populists had responded to new issues with new ideas. Those
ideas then found a home in one of the two major parties, the
Democrats, now under the leadership of William Jennings Bryan, who
was actually called a "Popocrat." Once again, the two major parties
presented voters with a clear choice on the important issues of the
day. The two-party system was revitalized -- for a
while.
Look at that animal: "I feel as fit as a bull moose,
and you can use me to the limit." That's what Teddy Roosevelt said
as he readied himself for a political drama that would change the
nature of America from that day to this.
(Music.)
The
dawn of the 20th century saw a further expansion of American
industrial power. The popular view was that a few so-called captains
of industry were creating new financial empires and far beneath
them, a growing and restless proletariat was ripe for
revolution.
Between the super rich and the working masses,
the middle class felt a sense of alarm. Their concern would spark a
new political movement, the Progressives. At first glance Republican
Theodore Roosevelt seemed an unlikely champion for the Progressives.
He was the wealthy heir to a New York fortune, a hero of the Spanish
American War. In 1900 he had been elected vice president on a ticket
headed by Republican William McKinley. Then in 1901, McKinley was
shot and killed. Roosevelt became president.
In Congress, the
leader of the Progressives was Republican Senator Robert LaFollette
of Wisconsin.
MR. JOHN GABLE: LaFollette's idea was that you
put out pristine -- the ideal into the legislative cauldron, be that
in Wisconsin or Washington when he was in the U.S. Senate. And then
you keep fighting for it, day after day, year after year, till you
get it in the right form. LaFollette said that TR was too much of a
compromiser and was willing to settle for half a loaf. And TR would
have readily agreed, "Yes, I'll settle for half a loaf rather than
nothing."
MR. WATTENBERG: But after reelection in 1904,
Roosevelt became a vocal proponent of the progressive cause. He took
on the great monopolies, regulated the railroads and established
safety standards for food, drugs and the workplace. In 1908,
Roosevelt's vice president and handpicked successor, William Howard
Taft, was elected. Under Taft, the rift between conservative and
progressive Republicans deepened. Taft sided with the pro-business
conservatives. Roosevelt went off to hunt lions in Africa. When he
returned, this king of the political jungle did not like what he
saw.
MR. GABLE: When he came back, in 1910, he found the
party completely in shambles and completely split between its
conservative and progressive elements -- the insurgents and the
stand-patters, as they were called. He was then urged by the
progressives to get involved on their side.
MR. WATTENBERG:
In June of 1912, Republicans gathered to choose a presidential
candidate at their convention in Chicago. Teddy Roosevelt lost. When
Taft was renominated, Roosevelt and his fellow progressives took a
walk. Within days, they formed a new party.
"There is no
danger of a revolution in this country, but there is grave
discontent and unrest. Unhampered by tradition, uncorrupted by
power, undismayed by the magnitude of the task, this new party
offers itself as the instrument of the people to build a new and
healthier government." -- Theodore Roosevelt.
MR. WATTENBERG:
The Bull-Moosers supported progressive reforms. These people
believed in good government. They didn't think bureaucracy was a
four-letter word. They favored voting rights for women, regulation
of big business, ending child labor, and lower tariffs.
MR.
GABLE: And this was to be no mere vote for the day. It was to
replace the Republican Party. It was to realign the party system.
Why should there be parties divided into wings? There were, in a
sense, four parties: progressive Democrats, conservative Democrats,
stand-pat Republicans, progressive Republicans; why shouldn't there
be a progressive party and a conservative party? So they were going
along to make this realignment.
MR. WATTENBERG: In 1912, the
progressives ran strong, but by splitting the Republican vote, they
allowed Wilson, the Democrat, to win with 42 percent. Roosevelt,
however, came in second with 27 percent. And a fourth candidate,
Eugene Debs, running on the Socialist Party ticket, got 6 percent of
the vote.
MR. WATTENBERG: Bull Moose candidates ran for
Congress during the midterm elections of 1914; but without Theodore
Roosevelt there to head a presidential ticket, the Bull-Moosers did
poorly.
MR. ROSENSTONE: In the 19th century, the parties
existed as an entity, and then went out and found themselves a
leader. In the 20th century, it's almost exactly the opposite. It's
hard to imagine some of the movements of the 20th century existing
without the leader. There would have been no Bull Moose candidacy or
Bull Moose campaign in 1912 if it weren't for Theodore Roosevelt
deciding he was going to challenge the president.
MR.
RITCHIE: What seemed -- at that point, in 1912, 1914, seemed like
the beginnings of a new political order evaporated very quickly and
had no staying power at all. And if Theodore Roosevelt couldn't do
it, then the question was, who could? Could anybody really create a
third party on a permanent basis, or were third parties best to be
temporary shocks to the system to force the major parties to adopt
issues that the third parties originated and believed in and
campaigned on?
MR. WATTENBERG: Teddy Roosevelt's Bull Moose
Party was a classic third-party enterprise. The party didn't last,
but the message did. Both major parties ended up embracing much of
the progressive agenda. Many of Roosevelt's followers drifted back
to the Republican Party, but the GOP could no longer make a special
claim as the party of reform. It was President Wilson and the
Democrats who reorganized the banking system, lowered tariffs,
created the Department of Labor, and provided federal aid to
education and farming.
Then, with almost clockwork
regularity, third parties continued to help shape America. In 1932,
at the depth of the Great Depression, another Roosevelt, Franklin
Delano Roosevelt, won the White House. The Democratic coalition he
assembled would come to dominate national politics.
But by
1948 two factions within that party, one on the right and one on the
left, launched third- and fourth-party bids for the White House. It
was a signal that Franklin Roosevelt's fragile Democratic coalition
was very fragile.
(Music.)
ANNOUNCER: The chair
declares that Henry A. Wallace has been unanimously nominated by
this convention as the candidate of the Progressive Party for the
office of president of the United States. (Cheers,
applause.)
MR. WATTENBERG: In 1948 the Cold War was
brand-new. Some Americans favored a more conciliatory stance toward
the Soviet Union, and some left-wing Democrats abandoned the party
to back a liberal, Henry Wallace, for president. They appropriated
the name of the old Progressive Party.
Then, as if the Cold
War weren't divisive enough, the Democratic Party split over another
explosive issue: civil rights. The white South had been solidly
Democratic and segregationist since the end of the Civil War. It was
thought that no Democrat could win the White House without Southern
support, including incumbent President Harry Truman.
MR. EARL
BLACK: For generations, the Southern Democrats had had enough
leverage within the Democratic Party to suppress any issues related
to civil rights. Harry Truman broke that as president. He came out
in favor of a civil rights bill. The bill didn't pass. The Southern
Democrats in the Congress defeated it. But by 1948 Truman's record
had angered the segregationist Southern Democrats to the point that
there was a rebellion.
MR. WATTENBERG: Southern Democrats
angrily walked out of the 1948 convention and formed the new States'
Rights Party. They were soon dubbed Dixiecrats.
SEN. STROM
THURMOND (R-SC): It simply means that it's another effort on the
part of this president to dominate the country by force and to put
into effect these uncalled-for and these damnable proposals he has
recommended under the guise of so-called civil rights, and I'll tell
you --
SEN. THURMOND: I had no idea I'd be nominated for the
president there, but it turned out I was nominated. And Governor
Fielding Wright was nominated for vice president. And we accepted
the nomination in Texas later and headed the ticket of that
third-party ticket.
MR. WATTENBERG: So in 1948 there were
three presidential candidates with roots in the Democratic Party:
President Truman; Strom Thurmond, the Dixiecrat; and Henry Wallace,
the Progressive. They faced just one Republican, the governor of New
York, Thomas Dewey.
SEN. THURMOND: I thought Dewey would
probably be elected. Everywhere Dewey went, the press was trailing
him, everybody was trailing him, saying he was the next president.
And the odds seemed to be strongly in his favor. Turned out it
wasn't.
MR. WATTENBERG: In the biggest upset in American
history, Harry Truman carried the day, with 49.6 percent of the
popular vote. Dewey got 45 percent. Strom Thurmond and Henry Wallace
won 2.4 percent each -- pretty small potatoes. But consider this:
Henry Wallace didn't carry a single state and didn't get a single
electoral vote. Thurmond's vote was concentrated in the South, and
he carried four states and 39 electoral votes. For the first time
since 1876, the solid South did not stay solidly
Democratic.
Fifteen years later, the Democrats' hold on
Southern voters would be shaken again.
MR. STEPHAN LESHER:
The interesting thing about Wallace is that he seemingly came from
nowhere. Here he was, the governor of a very small, politically
insignificant state for barely more than a year, and he suddenly was
thrust into the national arena. He did it, of course, with his --
what he likes to talk about as his dramatic confrontation with the
federal government -- nothing more dramatic than the famous stand in
the schoolhouse door at the University of Alabama, where he
succeeded for perhaps two hours, delaying the entrance of two black
students.
MR. WATTENBERG: In 1964 George Wallace entered the
Democratic presidential primaries. An important part of his message
concerned race, but there were other themes as well.
MR.
LESHER: What George Wallace found in the 1964 primary was that
people of all stripes were flocking to him. Then he was finding,
when he went to rallies, the response was overwhelming. Time and
again, they would be talking about their own concerns, about their
jobs and about crime, about keeping their home. I think that these
people had some real concerns that were left unaddressed for years,
and George Wallace was the first one to begin to scratch at that
itch.
MR. WATTENBERG: To the shock of many Democrats,
Wallace's appeal went beyond the South -- Wisconsin, 34 percent;
Indiana, 30 percent; Maryland, 43 percent; and then in 1968, a third
party. Wallace abandoned the Democrats to launch another bid for the
presidency. His American Independent Party hit hard on the theme of
law and order with racial overtones.
ANNOUNCER: Why are more
and more millions of Americans turning to Governor Wallace? Open a
little business and see what might happen.
GOV. GEORGE
WALLACE: As president, I will stand up for your local police and
firemen in protecting your safety and property.
MR.
WATTENBERG: It was a time of big-city riots, rising crime, campus
unrest and Vietnam War protests. Wallace spoke to those who were
terrified and angry at what was happening in America.
GOV.
GEORGE WALLACE: This country cannot survive if we allow the
anarchists to ruin it. And everybody knows that. And both national
parties are now talking about law and order. Well, they ought to
talk about law and order. They took it away from the American people
by not paying any attention to the average citizen.
GOV.
GEORGE WALLACE: I want to say one thing. You're the kind of people
that folks in this country are sick and tired of, too. (Cheers,
applause.)
GOV. GEORGE WALLACE: I was fighting Naziism before
you little punks were born. You remember that.
RICHARD NIXON:
The worst crime wave we've ever had in our history, the highest
taxes we've ever had in our history. (Cheers, applause.)
MR.
WATTENBERG: Wallace's message resonated with many voters. As in
earlier times, the two major parties moved to capture some of the
constituency of the third-choice candidate.
MR. LESHER: In
1968, as Wallace was growing in the polls, climbing steadily,
reaching over 22 percent just a month before the election, his key
opponents, Hubert Humphrey and Richard Nixon, saw that they had to
grab some of this. And both did the same thing. First they said
their vote would be wasted if they voted for George Wallace because
he can't get elected. "So elect me and I will carry the things you
want into the White House." Nixon, of course, focused his entire
campaign in the last month on the whole issue of law and
order.
RICHARD NIXON (Political Advertisement): Dissent is a
necessary ingredient of change, but in a system of government that
provides for peaceful change, there is no cause that justifies
resort to violence. Let us recognize that the first civil right of
every American is to be free from domestic violence. So I pledge to
you, we shall have order in the United States.
MR.
WATTENBERG: Richard Nixon won the 1968 election. Many Democrats who
defected from their party would never return.
MR. EARL BLACK:
The Wallace movement didn't last, but the Republican Party
essentially absorbed many of the elements of the Wallace movement.
They combined this with their base in the upper echelons of the
southern economy. Country club Republicans historically were always
there. And all of a sudden, the Republican Party becomes
competitive.
MR. WATTENBERG: Wallace's third-choice candidacy
led many southerners out of the Republican Party. And today,
Republicans dominate the South.
The next third-party
challenge would come not from the right or from the left, but from
the middle; voters who have been called the radical center. In 1992,
many of them would find a champion in a new, compelling independent
candidate. Unlike many of his predecessors, he had never held public
office, nor did he lay claim to a particular regional base. In fact,
you might even say his real base was here on the set of CNN's "Larry
King, Live" and subsequently on talk shows across
America.
(Music.)
MR. WATTENBERG: Opinion polls showed
voters disgusted with Washington politics, alienated from the
parties and anxious about an economy going from local to global. H.
Ross Perot was a plainspoken Texan and a billionaire.
MR.
WATTENBERG: He claimed to be reluctant to leave private
life.
LARRY KING: I received a call from John Hooker, in
Tennessee, who was once a candidate for governor, a prominent
Democrat. And he said, "I think Ross Perot is interested in running
for president." And I asked him, "Are you interested?" And he said
no. And then during the course of the program, about halfway in,
people were calling in asking him questions about so many things.
And I said, "Are you sure you're not interested?" And he said, "No,
I really don't want to be president." And with five minutes left, I
asked him, "Are there any circumstances under which you would run?
Any?" And if you say no to that, you have taken yourself out. And he
said, "Well, if I get on the ballot in all 50 states."
MR.
WATTENBERG: Perot had a fortune of $3 billion, and he didn't mind
spending it.
MR. ROSENSTONE: Theodore Roosevelt in 1912 spent
only about 60 cents on the dollar of what the major parties spent.
John Anderson spent only about 50 cents on the dollar of what the
major parties spent. Ross Perot in 1992 spent nearly $73 million,
which was roughly $1.20 on the dollar that was spent by the major
parties. Put differently, he out-spent the major-party candidates in
1992. That has never happened before.
ANNOUNCER: Welcome to
the first of three debates among the major candidates for president
of the United States.
MR. WATTENBERG: Perot's stature as a
candidate also received a major boost from his participation in the
1992 presidential debates.
MR. ROSS PEROT: I don't have any
experience in running up a $4 trillion debt. (Laughter.) I don't
have any experience in gridlocked government, where nobody takes
responsibility for anything and everybody blames everybody else. I
don't have any experience in creating the worst public school system
in the industrialized world; the most violent, crime-ridden society
in the industrialized world. But I do have a lot of experience in
getting things done.
MR. ROSENSTONE: No other third-party
candidate in modern history has stood shoulder to shoulder with the
Democratic and Republican candidates in a series of presidential
debates.
MR. WATTENBERG: Going into Election Day, polls
showed Perot with 13 percent of the vote. Many experts thought his
support would go down because of the "wasted vote"
syndrome.
Bill Clinton won with 43 percent. George Bush
received 37 percent. Perot got 19 percent, more than earlier polls
had indicated, making him the most successful independent candidate
since Theodore Roosevelt.
MR. WATTENBERG: Perot's platform
soon found its way into the mainstream political dialogue. The
Republicans' Contract with America in 1994 called for term limits,
campaign finance reform, lobbying reform, and a balanced
budget.
MR. WATTENBERG: Ross Perot returned in 1996 - and
this time he had a political party behind him. "United We Stand,
America" was now the Reform Party. The 19 percent of the vote Perot
received in 1992 entitled him to $29 million in federal funds for
his 1996 campaign. But Perot didn't do so well his second time out.
Why not? Many reasons have been offered.
MR. WHITE: The angry
American of 1992 was a lot less angry in 1996. I think that was a
huge difference between the two elections. In a way, it was the same
Ross Perot and the same message, but the environments were totally
different.
MR. PAUL HERRNSON: He had a credibility gap
because of some of the things that took place in 1992, and he was
looked at more closely and more seriously by the media, which became
increasingly skeptical, as did many voters.
MR. WATTENBERG:
And this time Perot and his running mate, Pat Choate, were excluded
from the presidential debates. They were not pleased.
MR. PAT
CHOATE: The Debate Commission itself is a private corporation that
is headed by the two former chairs of the Republican and Democratic
parties. Traditionally, that commission operates in a manner to keep
any independent or third party person out of the debates.
MR.
PAUL KIRK: Only President Clinton and Senator Dole have a realistic
chance as set forth in our criteria to be elected the next president
of the United States.
MR. WATTENBERG: That view was protested
in the courts and on the streets outside the Clinton-Dole debates.
In November, President Clinton was re-elected but narrowly missed
what he coveted, a majority. Bob Dole received 41 percent of the
popular vote. Perot ended up with 8 percent - less than half the
proportion he received in 1992. But even in defeat, Perot - like
many third party candidates before him - could claim to have
produced results.
MR. PEROT: Have you listened to the
messages from the other parties during the last few weeks? Do their
promises for 1996 sound familiar? Who first brought these issues to
the American people? You did! Isn't it terrific that in just four
years, they've repented, been reborn, and you are setting the agenda
for '96? God bless you.
MR. WATTENBERG: Ross Perot's
performance in the 1996 election surpassed the 5 percent of the vote
his party needed to qualify for federal funds in 2000.
MR.
CHOATE: In 1997, the Federal Election Commission certified the
reform Party as a national political party. It made it eligible for
$2 million plus to finance its convention in the year 2000 and
provide our nominee $12.6 million for the general election
run.
MR. WATTENBERG: In 1998, the Reform Party won a major
victory. Pro-wrestler and actor turned Reform Party candidate Jesse
Ventura was elected governor of Minnesota.
MR. JESSE VENTURA:
Now it's 1998 and the American dream lives on in Minnesota.
Hopefully the Democrats and the Republicans will take notice now;
they will - wait, wait - stop their partisan party politics and
start doing what's right for the people.
MS. ROBIN KOLODNY:
Ventura's win '98, in my opinion, really gave the Reform Party its
first slice of legitimacy. Before, it had been seen as a start-up
operation solely around Ross Perot.
MR. WATTENBERG: But
Governor Ventura didn't remain a Reform Party poster boy for long.
In February 2000, he left the fractious party when it appeared that
the Reform nominee would be a man with whom Ventura had major
disagreements on issues like abortion and trade.
MR. PAT
BUCHANAN: Today, I am ending my lifelong membership in the
Republican party and my campaign for its nomination, and I am
declaring my intention to seek the nomination of the Reform Party
for the presidency of the United States of America.
MR.
VENTURA: I can't stay within a national party that could well have
Pat Buchanan as its presidential nominee.
MR. WATTENBERG: The
Reform Party was experiencing post-Perot political pains. Meanwhile,
something else big was going on in third party politics: the Green
Party nominated longtime consumer advocate Ralph Nader.
MR.
NADER: The two-party system of domination is about to end. Perot
started it, and the Green Party's going to finish it.
MR.
WATTENBERG: And thus begins the story of Campaign 2000 - from the
third party perspective.
(music)
MR. CHOATE: What you
have, in effect, is a demand for change coming form the left and
from the right. That's a very powerful thing. It says that though a
Nader and a Buchanan will disagree on many, many things, and they
do, that both of them agree that democracy is threatened and the
integrity of the political process is threatened.
MR.
WATTENBERG: But do American voters agree?
MR. WHITE: I think
it's very difficult in the year 2000 for third parties to find
issues that are compelling enough to be successful with the American
voter. The economy is the best it's ever been in our lifetimes. That
makes the environment very difficult for third parties because
there's not an environment of discontent there.
MR.
WATTENBERG: There is discontent within the Reform Party. Buchanan's
candidacy sparked a brawl for control of the party's future, its
agenda, and its nomination.
MS. KOLODNY: When the Reform
Party was formed, it was not formed by people who have the sort of
conservative social values that Buchanan has. And that, I think, is
going to become a major stumbling block.
MR. WATTENBERG: But
there is still some important common ground within the Reform party
and between the two minor party candidates. Many reformers agree
with Buchanan on trade issues. Nader's Greens take a similar stand.
Both candidates are hoping to tap anti-globalization sentiment. They
oppose the free trade policies of both Governor Bush and Vice
President Gore. How strong will this issue be? Come election day, we
will find out.
MR. WHITE: As we get closer, as the leaves
start falling from the trees and the snow begins to hit the ground,
Americans always realize, very close to the election, that the
choice is between the two major party candidates.
MR.
WATTENBERG: An old story is replaying itself. When threatened, the
major candidates maintain that the minor candidates can't win. They
warn that a vote for Nader is a vote for Bush. A vote for Buchanan
helps elect Gore. In order to fend off the wasted vote syndrome,
Nader and Buchanan need to convince voters that there is little
difference between Bush and Gore.
MR. NADER: You mean George
W. Bush replacing George Ronald Clinton? You mean a do-nothing
replacing a do-little? Or tweedle-dum tweedle-dee? Let's raise our
expectations here.
MR. WATTENBERG: This year, both the Greens
and the Reform Party are aiming for at least five percent of the
popular vote. That would qualify them for federal funding in 2004
and put them on the road to becoming permanent parties of the Left
and Right. But even with low numbers, Nader and Buchanan may have a
significant impact on the outcome of Election 2000.
MR.
WHITE: Close elections are won or lost at the margins. And
therefore, a party that is getting 2, 3, 4, 5, percent of the vote
or better is apt to make a difference, a difference in key
states.
MR. CHOATE: America is ready for a third political
party. They're ready for a third choice. Now I think it can be the
Reform Party. I think it's going to be the Reform Party. But if it's
not the reform party, something else will emerge in 2004.
MR.
WATTENBERG: From the anti-Masons to the Republicans, from the
Populists to the Progressives, to Nader's Raiders and the Buchanan
Brigades. As time goes on, there will be others, providing an
infusion of new ideas. Repeatedly, the major parties have adopted
and shaped third-choice ideas for their own purposes. As they do,
the two-party system is renewed and refreshed - changing American
politics and American life.
Thanks for watching. I'm Ben
Wattenberg.
END
Questions?
Comments? Please email us at thinktank@pbs.org
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Source: http://www.pbs.org/thinktank/thirdchoice/transcript.html
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