Table 11 COMPARISON OF GENETIC ADAPTIVE NEURAL NETWORK (GANN) APPROXIMATIONS OF EURODOLLAR FUTURES OPTION TRADED ON LIFFE Panel A: Calls |
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GANN1 Approximation |
GANN2 Approximation |
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Sub-sample Description |
Number of Observations |
Mean Squared Error (MSE) |
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) |
Mean Squared Error (MSE) |
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) |
Complete Sample |
6887 | 0.00051 |
0.01677 |
0.00021 |
0.01018 |
in-the-money |
2698 | 0.00071 |
0.02098 |
0.00028 |
0.01197 |
just-in |
1782 | 0.00076 |
0.02159 |
0.00036 |
0.01380 |
deep-in |
910 | 0.00061 |
0.01978 |
0.00014 |
0.00838 |
out-of-the-money |
4159 | 0.00038 |
0.01399 |
0.00016 |
0.00898 |
just-out |
1840 | 0.00059 |
0.01722 |
0.00029 |
0.01251 |
deep-out |
2312 | 0.00022 |
0.01143 |
0.00006 |
0.00617 |
at-the-money |
30 | 0.00117 |
0.02360 |
0.00043 |
0.01500 |
Panel B: Puts |
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Complete Sample |
6887 | 0.00046 |
0.01632 |
0.00020 |
0.01014 |
in-the-money |
4159 | 0.00041 |
0.01511 |
0.00016 |
0.00875 |
just-in |
1840 | 0.00056 |
0.01740 |
0.00029 |
0.01261 |
deep-in |
2312 | 0.00029 |
0.01328 |
0.00006 |
0.00566 |
out-of-the-money |
2698 | 0.00054 |
0.01806 |
0.00027 |
0.01225 |
just-out |
1782 | 0.00062 |
0.01898 |
0.00034 |
0.01368 |
deep-out |
910 | 0.00039 |
0.01627 |
0.00014 |
0.00948 |
at-the-money |
30 | 0.00118 |
0.02606 |
0.00036 |
0.01308 |
| The degree of moneyness is as previously described. For example, if the futures rate (F(t)) is greater than the strike rate (100 - K), a put option on a 3-month Eurodollar futures contract will be in-the-money and a call option will be out-of-the-money. GANN1 has 4 inputs and 18 hidden layer nodes while GANN2 has 6 input and 18 hidden layer nodes. | |||||