Table 11

COMPARISON OF GENETIC ADAPTIVE NEURAL NETWORK (GANN) APPROXIMATIONS

OF EURODOLLAR FUTURES OPTION TRADED ON LIFFE

Panel A: Calls

   

GANN1 Approximation

GANN2 Approximation

Sub-sample

Description

Number of

Observations

Mean Squared

Error (MSE)

Mean Absolute

Error (MAE)

Mean Squared

Error (MSE)

Mean Absolute

Error (MAE)

Complete

Sample

6887

0.00051

0.01677

0.00021

0.01018

in-the-money

2698

0.00071

0.02098

0.00028

0.01197

just-in

1782

0.00076

0.02159

0.00036

0.01380

deep-in

910

0.00061

0.01978

0.00014

0.00838

out-of-the-money

4159

0.00038

0.01399

0.00016

0.00898

just-out

1840

0.00059

0.01722

0.00029

0.01251

deep-out

2312

0.00022

0.01143

0.00006

0.00617

at-the-money

30

0.00117

0.02360

0.00043

0.01500

Panel B: Puts

Complete

Sample

6887

0.00046

0.01632

0.00020

0.01014

in-the-money

4159

0.00041

0.01511

0.00016

0.00875

just-in

1840

0.00056

0.01740

0.00029

0.01261

deep-in

2312

0.00029

0.01328

0.00006

0.00566

out-of-the-money

2698

0.00054

0.01806

0.00027

0.01225

just-out

1782

0.00062

0.01898

0.00034

0.01368

deep-out

910

0.00039

0.01627

0.00014

0.00948

at-the-money

30

0.00118

0.02606

0.00036

0.01308

The degree of moneyness is as previously described. For example, if the futures rate (F(t)) is greater than the strike rate (100 - K), a put option on a 3-month Eurodollar futures contract will be in-the-money and a call option will be out-of-the-money. GANN1 has 4 inputs and 18 hidden layer nodes while GANN2 has 6 input and 18 hidden layer nodes.

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